Yesterday I purchased a lottery ticket though it's not habitual. As the vendor came near, a kind of yes-no decision situation followed and I made up the mind to pick one, quite almost sure that this one won't be the winning ticket... still... the imaginative brain half sets eye at the top prize. This is the human scenario where knowing that there are lower chance to win, mind is tempted into the greed and hope involved in playing a chance game. Numbers, luck, probability, what would you call it?
I used to love Probability Theory while learning mathematics. Lottery ticket draw is a real life application of probability. The lottery numbers are formed out of what we call Permutations and Combinations of letter and number series that we learnt in our high school maths text books. Such knowledge makes it sound like a more calculative game than an intuitive one. Observe the number series, and you will know how lottery distribution is a planned process and not just a random all-for-chance event. Number series is planned such that winners from different geographical points get equal chance it win, so that the process of winning is more evenly distributed. This does not mean the winning number is already pre-planned and it's a fake game. I meant, the lot picking process is arranged in such a way that even the winning numbers are evenly distributed so that winning is not concentrated around consecutive or adjacent numbers alone. Observe lottery draw results and you see all these points stand true
Each one of all the tickets sold has an equal chance to win or lose the best prize. And this of course is a toooooo small percentage chance considering the largeness of number of tickets that are sold in total. Thus after the draw, for all buyers except the lucky one the chance of winning the first prize is 0. This is only for the best prize. Chances to win are lower when prize is for distinct ticket numbers alone. Mostly this is the pattern for second and third prizes
For the further prizes that only need a series that ends with particular numbers (e.g., 2716) vs. a distinct ticket number (e.g., KD 48 2716), chance to win a prize for a player improves considering all the players in total. This is because the lot taking is planned for smaller prizes such that more players from distinct locations get a prize evenly. Also it is easy to note that the percentage chance for players to win smaller prizes is higher compared to the top prizes. Probability also explains why a person who buys some tickets together has higher chances to win a prize than a single ticket buyer. Still it could turn out that the single ticket buyer wins while the bulk buyer loses. Thinking further high, and if good in such maths you can reach an answer on how to ensure a prize 100% over buying bulk tickets together and intelligently. It is only that be calculative on what you spend and what is received. Nobody wants to play riskier for a heavier loss
The fun in a lottery is the excitement of the mind between a pessimistic and optimistic pendulum till the moment of the result. Mind sometimes enjoys the strange state of uncertainty, when it does not have an answer to a problem and so has the freedom to imagine, fluctuate and re-imagine a high gain or loss situation all in the difference of seconds. I admit I lost the game this time, while also having received the momentary enjoyment of winning the biggest cash in my imagination. So, lotteries are a ticket to paid imagination to confidently dream high even while you are about to lose more probably